Business & Economics

Supreme Court Poised to Rule on Legality of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ IEEPA Tariffs

On 9 Jan 2026 the justices may issue an expedited decision on whether President Trump’s April 2025 10–50 % blanket import tariffs, enacted under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act, were an unconstitutional overreach of executive authority.

By Tomás Rydell

Focusing Facts

  1. Importers have filed 914 refund suits seeking repayment of roughly $133 billion in duties collected through 6 Jan 2026.
  2. The tariffs produced $215.2 billion in FY 2025 and another $98 billion in revenue since 1 Oct 2025.
  3. Prediction markets on 8 Jan 2026 priced only a 24–30 % probability that the Court will fully uphold the tariffs.

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