EU Spring Forecast Slashes 2026 Eurozone Growth to 0.9% After Hormuz Closure
On 21 May 2026 the European Commission cut its 2026 euro-area GDP outlook from 1.2 % to 0.9 % and lifted its inflation projection to 3.0 %, citing the energy price spike following the Iran war—moves that have markets betting on an ECB rate hike in June.