New START Treaty Expires, Lifting US-Russia Warhead Caps
At 00:00 GMT on 5 Feb 2026 the New START accord lapsed, removing the last legally binding limits on how many strategic nuclear warheads the United States and Russia may deploy.
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Moscow Signals Breakthrough Ahead of Abu Dhabi Ukraine Talks
On 5 Feb 2026, Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev announced “positive movement” toward a Ukraine peace settlement and confirmed imminent Russia-Ukraine-U.S. negotiations in Abu Dhabi, marking the first publicly acknowledged advance since 2024’s stalled cease-fire draft.
Xi–Trump Call Triggers Fresh Global Scramble Over Taiwan Ties
On 4 Feb 2026, after Xi Jinping warned Donald Trump that Taiwan is the “most important issue” and urged restraint on U.S. arms sales, governments in Taipei, Canberra and Ottawa publicly weighed or defended deeper cooperation with Taiwan, signalling push-back against Beijing’s pressure.
Istanbul Summit Set for First Post-War U.S.–Iran Nuclear Talks
On 3 Feb 2026 Tehran and Washington accepted Turkey’s proposal for face-to-face nuclear negotiations on 6 Feb in Istanbul, with Iran publicly instructing its foreign minister to attend and regional states invited as observers.
Witkoff & Kushner Fly to Abu Dhabi for Second Russia-Ukraine-US Trilateral, Feb 4–5
On 3 Feb 2026 the White House confirmed that envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will attend a second round of U.S.–Russia–Ukraine peace talks in Abu Dhabi scheduled for 4-5 February, following an inaugural session in late January.
Guterres’ 28-Jan-2026 Letter Flags UN Cash Exhaustion by July
In a 28 January 2026 memo to all 193 member states, UN chief António Guterres warned the organisation will be unable to pay its regular bills by July unless massive arrears are settled or its refund-on-surplus rule is scrapped.
Trump Authorizes Tariffs on All Foreign Oil Shipments to Cuba
On 29 Jan 2026 President Trump signed an executive order declaring Cuba a national-security “emergency” and empowering U.S. agencies to slap extra tariffs on imports from any country—chiefly Mexico—that continues sending crude or refined products to the island.
Istanbul Nuclear Summit Set: Witkoff-Araghchi Meeting Scheduled for 6 Feb 2026
Washington and Tehran agreed to hold their first direct nuclear negotiations since 2025 in Istanbul on Friday, even as the U.S. dispatches an aircraft-carrier strike group toward Iran and President Trump warns that "bad things" loom without a deal.
Israel Begins Pilot Reopening of Gaza’s Rafah Crossing Under EU-Egypt Oversight
On 1 Feb 2026 Israel activated a EU–Egypt monitored “pilot” at Rafah, reinstating strictly vetted pedestrian traffic for the first time since it seized the crossing in May 2024.
Trump Dispatches USS Abraham Lincoln Strike Group Toward Iran, Issues Ultimatum for New Nuclear Deal
Between 28-29 Jan 2026, Washington surged the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group into the Arabian Sea and President Trump publicly warned Tehran to accept a ‘fair, equitable’ no-nuke pact or face a U.S. attack “far worse” than last June’s 12-day bombing campaign.
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