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In the first week of July 2026, NOAA, ECMWF and leading catastrophe modelers all raised the odds of an unprecedentedly strong El Niño above 60 %, while its infancy has already shut Peru’s anchovy fleet, cut India’s hydropower by a fifth and reshuffled global risk projections.
On 6-7 July 2026, Super Typhoon Bavi’s 180 mph (290 km/h) winds wiped out power, water, and mobile service for roughly 40,000 people in Guam and the Northern Marianas—especially the 1,500-resident island of Rota—yet no deaths were recorded.
Within 24 hours on 7 July 2026, authorities raised the fatality count from the Typhoon-Maysak storm system to 17 and ordered top-level flood alerts and mass evacuations across Guangxi and Hubei.
On 5 July 2026, the veteran Hayabusa2 probe dived to within a few hundred meters of 450-m-wide asteroid Torifune 100 million km away, capturing high-resolution optical and infrared images in the closest rapid pass ever attempted by an asteroid mission.
On 6 July 2026 simultaneous wildfires driven by a fresh heat-wave forced 10,000-plus evacuations in France’s Pyrénées-Orientales and compelled organizers to run Stage 3 of the Tour de France without spectators.
Over the 5-6 July weekend, simultaneous wildfires in Greece, Portugal, Spain and France prompted indoor-stay orders in Thessaloniki and the dispatch of cross-border EU crews, marking the season’s first multi-country emergency mobilisation.
After a 1-billion-kilometre, 400-day cruise, China’s Tianwen-2 spacecraft has maneuvered into formation flight just 20 km from quasi-satellite 2016 HO3 and has switched on its 11-instrument science payload.
On 6 July 2026, Super Typhoon Bavi’s eye crossed the island of Rota in the Northern Mariana Islands, slamming the U.S. Pacific territories with sustained 180 mph (290 kph) winds and triggering widespread damage warnings and mass sheltering.
From 1 to 4 July 2026, consecutive blazes in Fthiotida and the outskirts of Thessaloniki killed a father and 12-year-old son, forced more than 4,000 residents and a 157-person special-needs facility to evacuate, and mobilised over 135 firefighters with 25 aircraft despite Greece’s brand-new four-satellite wildfire-monitoring system.
Public Health France doubled its preliminary estimate, now attributing 2,025 additional deaths to the record 22-28 June 2026 heatwave compared with the prior week.
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