Business & Economics

Italy’s U-Turn Tips the Scales for EU-Mercosur Pact

Brussels secured Italy’s backing on 5 Jan 2026 by dangling extra farm funding, giving the EU the qualified-majority votes it lacked ahead of a 9 Jan ambassadors’ ballot and a planned 12 Jan signing of the 780-million-person trade deal.

By Tomás Rydell

Focusing Facts

  1. Qualified majority requires 15 states representing 65 % of EU population; Italy alone accounts for ~13 %, enough to deny or deliver that threshold.
  2. EU ambassadors are slated to vote on the agreement on 9 Jan 2026, with Commission President von der Leyen pencilled in to fly to Paraguay for a 12 Jan signature ceremony.
  3. French farmers staged tractor blockades around the Arc de Triomphe on 8 Jan 2026, causing traffic jams up to 150 km in protest against the deal.

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Perspectives in this article

  • Business-oriented EU policy outlets
  • European farmers’ unions and agriculture-focused or protest coverage
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